Keeping in mind Mark Blumenthal’s cautionary note about exit polls, I am trying not to get too excited about these early exit poll numbers that point to a massive landslide win for Barack Obama in Iowa and elsewhere.
What are you doing tonight? Are you going to an election night party or watching the returns come in at home? I am making one of my favorite dishes for dinner, which I haven’t cooked in many months.
I’ll update periodically tonight as results come in.
Note: David Yepsen thinks McCain should have picked Mike Huckabee for vice president. I think that would have been a less-bad choice than Sarah Palin, but McCain still would have faced an enormous gender gap and problem with suburban moderates.
I still think the Republicans would have done better to nominate Mitt Romney, and that Romney must be kicking himself for not knocking out McCain earlier this year.
UPDATE: At around 6:30 pm I got a robocall from Barack Obama, reminding me that I still have a few hours to vote in this historic election, and asking me to go out and vote. A different voice then reminded me that polls are open until 9 pm and gave me a toll-free number that I could call to find my polling place.
Best. GOTV. ever.
UPDATE 2: Obama is only down a few points in Indiana, and several Democratic strongholds (like Gary and Indianapolis) have not reported. Also, exit polls suggest Obama is only losing white voters in Indiana by about 3 percent, which would be groundbreaking if true.
UPDATE 3: Doors are closing for McCain. Pennsylvania has been called for Obama, and he still looks like he has a chance to win Indiana and North Carolina. Ohio also seems to be turning blue.
In the Senate races, we have picked up seats in New Hampshire, Virginia and North Carolina. We probably are going to lose Kentucky. Looks like I was wrong about Georgia being the closest U.S. Senate race–Republican Saxby Chambliss seems to be leading there.
My husband got tired of the talking heads and switched over to the BBC America channel. It brought back too many traumatic memories for me–I stayed up all night in England watching the 2000 election returns on the BBC. It was around 3 am when they announced Florida was no longer in the Gore column, but was “too close to call.”
UPDATE 4: That’s all she wrote. Fox News just called Ohio for Obama. There is no mathematical way for McCain to get 270 electoral votes.
To put some icing on the cake, Obama leads in Florida with half the votes counted. McCain clings to narrow leads in Indiana and Virginia, with some heavily Democratic areas not counted yet.
Also, we picked up a fourth U.S. Senate seat (in New Mexico). Minnesota has been called for Obama, but that Senate race is too close to call.
UPDATE 5: No one is calling Florida yet, but things sure look good for Obama if you compare his share of the vote in the counties that are in to what John Kerry received four years ago.
We picked up at least one House seat in Florida and lost FL-16, but good riddance to him as far as I’m concerned. Let the record reflect that even though I am a yellow dog Democrat, I would not have voted for that creep Tim Mahoney in FL-16.
Virginia and North Carolina both appear within reach, but still too close to call.
CBS is showing an incredible celebratory scene at Howard University (a black college) in Washington.
UPDATE 6: I was putting my son to sleep and missed McCain’s concession speech. Mr. desmoinesdem said it was gracious.
Florida, Colorado and Virginia have been called for Obama. Only North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri and Montana haven’t been called yet, as far as I can tell.
UPDATE 7: Nice victory speech by Obama. He’s not going to rub it in the Republicans’ faces. He will reach out to them. I predict more than a token Republican or two will be in his cabinet–perhaps even Colin Powell.
North Carolina has been called for Obama.
I feel bad that Obama’s grandmother did not live to see this moment. However, he did get back to see her a couple of weeks ago, and she did cast an absentee ballot before she died. I’m sure she must have known that he was going to win.
Apparently Obama has offered Rahm Emanuel the job of White House chief of staff. That’s got to be a tempting offer, but if Emanuel stays in the House of Representatives he might become speaker someday.
5 Comments
Penn has been called for Obama!!!!!
Oh yeah!
secondtonone Tue 4 Nov 7:01 PM
I've been telling my brother
to stop worrying about Pennsylvania.
That was just cheap talk from the McCain camp to pretend like they still thought they could win. If they had conceded PA things would have fallen apart everywhere.
desmoinesdem Tue 4 Nov 8:06 PM
Obama won Ohio
GAME OVER!!!!!
secondtonone Tue 4 Nov 8:32 PM
I can't help but be moved by the results, even though I didn't support Obama.
This is an historic and special election in the hearts and lives of a people that have not been well-treated by our country. I am so delighted for this moment of celebration for those who are celebrating. I really, really am.
I probably won’t agree with much of anything he does as President, but I am thankful for this moment, and I pray that it will do much to heal deep wounds in our nation. I pray that we (those who did not support the winner) will have the opportunity to rejoice with those who rejoice tonight, and that many will be brought together who have been divided.
makinghome Tue 4 Nov 11:39 PM
thank you for those thoughts
I have heard Mike Huckabee express similar feelings before. It is an amazing moment for the country. I truthfully never thought I’d live to see a black man elected president.
I think Obama is a conciliator in his heart. I’d probably prefer a tougher partisan line in a president, but maybe it’s better for the country that he has the temperament he does. I think he will try to be inclusive of those who didn’t vote for him.
desmoinesdem Wed 5 Nov 12:19 AM