Regional Strengths

We all know that he is the frontrunner in Iowa, but it turns out that Edwards is popular all over the midwest.  Obama is surprisingly strong in the west (anyone have any idea why?), while Clinton is weaker in these two regions.  That’s unfortunate, since those are the two swing regions in the country.  We’re going to win the northeast for sure in 2008.  We’re probably going to lose most of the south, no matter how big our overall victory.  It’s states like New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado, Minnesota, Wisconsin, and, yes, Iowa that are going to make the difference if I’m wrong and it does turn out to be a competitive race.  And in that kind of a fight, it looks like Hillary would be our weakest candidate.

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Simon Stevenson

  • Hillary would kill us down-ticket

    all over the south and west especially, but also here in the midwest. I can’t understand why there are people who don’t see that she is our weakest candidate.

    Which part of the west does Obama do well in? He’s spent a fair amount of time in California and gotten a lot of media attention there. Also, California has a smaller proportion of white residents than a lot of other states. Maybe that’s why Obama is polling better there.

    Or maybe it’s a small sub-sample of a poll, with a bigger margin for error.

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