Trump, Carson way ahead of second tier in Quinnipiac's latest Iowa poll

Outsiders reign supreme in Quinnipiac’s latest poll of “likely Republican Caucus participants” in Iowa. Click here for the polling memo and full results. After the jump I’ve posted a couple of tables from the release.

Donald Trump is the first choice of 27 percent of participants, with Ben Carson not far behind at 21 percent. Carson leads among self-identified “born-again evangelicals” in the respondent pool. Among all respondents, Ted Cruz places a distant third at 9 percent, followed by Jeb Bush (6 percent), Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, and Marco Rubio (5 percent each), Rand Paul, Mike Huckabee, and don’t know/not answer (4 percent each).

Just a couple of months ago, Scott Walker led Quinnipiac’s Iowa poll with 18 percent support. The latest survey puts him in tenth place with 3 percent.

Adding today’s data to findings from other recent surveys, I believe we can answer the question Bleeding Heartland posed about the Wisconsin governor in March. Despite getting a decent head start here, Walker is looking like the second coming of Tim Pawlenty.

Any comments about the Republican presidential race are welcome in this thread.

From the Quinnipiac Poll news release of September 11:

From August 27 – September 8, Quinnipiac University surveyed  1,038 likely Iowa Republican Caucus participants with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones.

Q-poll Iowa GOP caucus September 2015 photo Screen Shot 2015-09-11 at 8.52.55 AM_zpsmcemrvas.png

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