Should Iowa adopt run-off elections for primaries? (updated)

Governor Terry Branstad suggested at his regular weekly press conference this morning that he is open to changing state law to provide for run-off elections where no candidate wins at least 35 percent of the vote in a primary. Under current law, a Democratic or Republican special nominating convention is required if no candidate hits the 35 percent threshold in the primary for a state or federal office. You can listen to the audio from Branstad’s press conference at Radio Iowa. He starts talking about this issue around the 16-minute mark.

At least seven GOP candidates are running for Iowa’s open U.S. Senate seat, with more considering, and five Democrats are running in the first Congressional district. I would not rule out a clear winner emerging in both contests next June, but I also would not be surprised to see a convention decide at least one nomination, especially in the Senate race.

Eleven states, mostly in the South, currently provide for run-off elections in come primaries. Historically, the system has been seen as a way to prevent African-American candidates from winning primaries in the former Confederacy, although that may be a myth. I can see the case for holding a run-off election between the top two vote-getters in a crowded primary, rather than letting a small number of party insiders choose the nominee at a convention.

Share your own thoughts in this thread.

UPDATE: I did not realize that Republican Party of Iowa Chair A.J. Spiker had his own reform ideas for the system. Details are after the jump.

Kathie Obradovich’s latest column for the Des Moines Register contains an amazing proposal from Iowa GOP Chair Spiker:

The cost of campaigns is one reason GOP chairman Spiker wants the option for the party to choose nominating conventions instead of a primary election. “In the GOP over the last 20 years or so, whoever raised the most money in the GOP won the nomination,” he said. A nominating convention process allows party donors to focus resources on the general election.

The party could expand participation in the convention, perhaps even allowing any registered Republican to qualify as a delegate. He said he thinks delegates will do a better job of vetting candidates than primary voters.

Spiker doesn’t necessarily want to get rid of primary elections, but he says he doesn’t like combining an election with the potential for a nominating convention. That forces candidates to prepare for two wildly different types of campaigns. He said he’d like the state party to decide each cycle, at least a year in advance, how it will nominate its candidates. If the party chooses a primary, he said, then a candidate should have to achieve a majority vote – 50 percent plus one – to win the nomination outright.

There would be an uproar if the Iowa GOP declared a convention rather than a primary for a major office. It’s also likely that a convention would produce a weaker nominee: more extreme and not battle-tested from campaigning around the state during a primary.

If Virginia Republicans used a primary rather than a nominating convention, they might have won the recent gubernatorial election. I’m still amazed a Democrat as unappealing as Terry McAuliffe was able to eke out a win there.

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desmoinesdem

  • Open primaries could be the way to go

    In open primaries every candidate, regardless of party, runs in the same primary and the top two (or three or four if you want) advance to the general election. Parties would exercise even less direct control over the nominating process. If the top two advanced in Iowa congressional races, each major would have a nominee, since each district is fairly balanced among parties. But, in state legislature races, you would have several districts where the top two finishers would be of the same party. There’s no reason that an election should effectively be “over” once the 10% turnout primary is over.

    I also think having multi-member districts would be good for state legislatures and Congress. This would mean increasing the number of seats or, preferably, merging single-member districts. Many city councils and foreign legislatures have this and it allows for a more accurate representation of the electorate.

    • I don't like open primaries

      I much prefer instant runoff voting.

      Multi-member districts do tend to lead to legislatures that are more representative of the population. It would be a much bigger hurdle to make change on that scale here.

      • Oh absolutely

        IRV is definitely the best system but it’s also the most difficult to explain to the typical voter. Similar to multi-member districts, chances of it on a statewide scale are pretty low.

  • Not a bad idea

    I don’t think it is always realistic to ask every candidate to get 50+1.  It may be something worth exploring though.  It makes more sense to me than going to a convention and letting party bosses play a larger role.  

  • I'm not politically astute

    Enough to intelligently offer an opinion, but I am cynical enough to wonder if we should be changing state law to accommodate one party’s internal problems with its fringe subset factions?

    • I don't think that's the issue

      Either party could have a primary end with no candidate gaining 35 percent, and when that happens, it makes sense to let a larger number of primary voters decide, rather than a few insiders.

      • Yes

        On the merits I am generally in agreement with you that it does make sense to broaden the pool of deciders.

        That said, I can’t help but see this as a way to counter the bloc power of the churchies (BVP and fellow travelers) and the Paulonians.

  • If we had a run-off election in 2002,

    It might have saved us from Steve King, who was nominated in a convention.

  • just a thought

    How can we say that Iowa politics are the perfect place to help launch a presidential bid through our 1st in the nation process while suggesting that our party infrastructures aren’t sufficient in selecting party nominees if necessary?

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