While Democrats picked up two new seats to claim a majority of Iowa’s Congressional delegation, the overall congressional vote was tilted in the Republican’s favor – they won 520,798 votes (50.6%) to our 490,476 (47.7%). This margin represents less than the margin in just Congressional District 5, but that margin is slated to move on over into at least one of our competitive districts in six years.
A similar result can be seen in Indiana, where Democrats lost the statewide congressional vote while picking up three seats to bring them to a majority. The only other state with as dramatic results as Iowa and Indiana is New Hampshire, but considering they won their only two Congressional seats, they obviously managed an overall majority as well. It might just be the fact that Democrats were doing so poorly before the election that the races they weren’t able to compete in – CD 4 and 5 here and 4, 5, and 6 in Indiana – overwhelmed the results of what were targeted, competitive races on both sides. We’ll get a better idea in 2008, when Republicans are the ones trying to pick off our seats.
2 Comments
interesting and worrying
I can’t see how we could hold on to three CDs once Iowa goes down to four. Even with a super-Republican district in western Iowa, there are going to be a lot of extra Republican votes in at least one of our incumbents’ districts.
desmoinesdem Mon 22 Jan 9:39 PM
Maybe...
The fourth district is actually a slightly Democratic district, with a partisan voter index of D+0.4. If the 5th picks up some of the Republican parts of the 4th to become the new 4th, that would actually increase the overall Democratic value of the remaining three districts.
drew-miller Tue 23 Jan 2:01 AM